DOJ’s Zero Tolerance Of Zero Tolerance

A Justice Department report critical of the Baltimore police missed the point. So did those who praised and faulted it. [Credit: NY Post]

A Jus­tice Depart­ment report crit­i­cal of the Bal­ti­more police missed the point. So did those who praised and fault­ed it. [Cred­it: NY Post]

The Depart­ment of Jus­tice report on Bal­ti­more police prac­tices has prompt­ed pre­dictable reac­tions from Left and Right.

The report con­firmed sus­pi­cions on the Left that police uncon­sti­tu­tion­al­ly harassed African-Amer­i­can males. From the Right came reflex­ive defens­es of the police.

Both have a point.  And both miss the point.  As does the report itself. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Debt And The New American Exceptionalism

Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen plans to increase interest rates.  Can government and households survive the shock? [Credit: Huffington Post]

Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Janet Yellen plans to increase inter­est rates. Can gov­ern­ment and house­holds sur­vive the shock? [Cred­it: Huff­in­g­ton Post]

The Amer­i­can econ­o­my is back.  After years of tepid growth and a first quar­ter con­trac­tion, GDP grew by a robust 4.6 per­cent in the third quar­ter of last year.  The unem­ploy­ment rate remained at 5.8 per­cent in Novem­ber, and ana­lysts expect the Labor Depart­ment to announce tomor­row that the econ­o­my added sub­stan­tial­ly more than 200,000 jobs in Decem­ber.  Infla­tion is low, the dol­lar is strong, oil prices have tum­bled, and fed­er­al deficits are low­er.  Near­ly six years after the reces­sion end­ed, the long-await­ed recov­ery appears at last to have arrived.

That recov­ery has in part been dri­ven by a force that could be its undo­ing: debt.  Near­ly $46 tril­lion of it, or more than 2–1/2 times our annu­al eco­nom­ic out­put. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Inequality: Has The Income Gap Narrowed?

Two icons of the Left -- economist Thomas Piketty and Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) -- talking about rising inequality last June.  But by some measures, inequality is shrinking.  [Credit: National Review]

Two icons of the Left — econ­o­mist Thomas Piket­ty and Sen­a­tor Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA) — dis­cussing ris­ing inequal­i­ty dur­ing an event last June. But by some mea­sures, inequal­i­ty is shrink­ing, not ris­ing. [Cred­it: Nation­al Review]

“The game right now in Amer­i­ca is rigged. It is rigged so that those at the top keep doing bet­ter and bet­ter, and every­one else is under increas­ing pres­sure, is under increas­ing eco­nom­ic strain…And that is the pro­found dan­ger that we see from great inequal­i­ty.” Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA)

Democ­rats are still sting­ing from last month’s epic defeat at the polls.  Some of them attribute that unhap­py out­come to ide­o­log­i­cal tem­per­ance.  The par­ty would do bet­ter, some argue, if their can­di­dates took a more stri­dent tone, denounc­ing the rich, preach­ing that Wash­ing­ton gov­erns in the ser­vice of Wall Street, and call­ing for more aggres­sive redis­tri­b­u­tion of income and wealth to damp­en ris­ing inequality.

But a new study pub­lished in the South­ern Eco­nom­ic Jour­nal pulls at a crit­i­cal thread of that nar­ra­tive.  It found that, at least accord­ing to one mea­sure of income, the gap between rich and poor actu­al­ly nar­rowed between 1989 and 2007. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Inequality: What We Earn vs. What We Consume

Is inequality better measured by what we earn or what we spend? The difference is surprising. [Credit: Politic.org]

Is inequal­i­ty bet­ter mea­sured by what we earn or what we spend? The dif­fer­ence is sur­pris­ing. [Cred­it: Politic.org]

Is your stan­dard of liv­ing bet­ter mea­sured by what you earn or by what you buy?

The ques­tion may seem an odd one, but it is crit­i­cal to under­stand­ing the prob­lem of ris­ing inequal­i­ty. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Paul Krugman and the Inequality Deniers

Recent criticism of Thomas Piketty's Capital in the 21st Centruy has drawn the ire of the splenetic Paul Krugman. [Credit: National Review]

Recent crit­i­cism of Thomas Piket­ty’s Cap­i­tal in the 21st Cen­tu­ry has drawn the ire of the sple­net­ic Paul Krug­man. [Cred­it: Nation­al Review]

There is grow­ing con­cern among peo­ple on the Right and Left about income inequal­i­ty. But you wouldn’t know that from read­ing Paul Krugman’s lat­est screed.

What stirred Krugman’s bile this week was crit­i­cism of econ­o­mist Thomas Piketty’s book, Cap­i­tal in the 21st Cen­tu­ry, a work that has attained canon­i­cal sta­tus among the Left on both sides of the Atlantic. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Elizabeth Warren’s Anti-Progressivism

Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) preaches progressivism but is her student loan proposal anti-progressive? [Credit: NPR]

Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA) preach­es pro­gres­sivism but is her stu­dent loan pro­pos­al anti-pro­gres­sive? [Cred­it: NPR]

“This coun­try should not be run for the biggest cor­po­ra­tions and largest finan­cial insti­tu­tions.” Sen­a­tor Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA)

To judge from Warren’s record so far, she would be pre­fer that the coun­try be run for the ben­e­fit of its biggest uni­ver­si­ties. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Vince Young And Economic Mobility

Vince Young in happier times. His rapid rise and sudden fall constitute a cautionary tale. But behind it all there is good news about economic opportunity and upward mobility. [Credit: Dallas Morning News]

Vince Young in hap­pi­er times. His rapid rise and sud­den fall tell a cau­tion­ary tale. But a new study pro­vides wel­come news about eco­nom­ic oppor­tu­ni­ty and upward mobil­i­ty. [Cred­it: Dal­las Morn­ing News]

Vince Young is bank­rupt.  The sto­ry of a star col­lege quar­ter­back who rose from hum­ble cir­cum­stances to impos­si­ble wealth only to plunge into insol­ven­cy in the course of eight years is one marked by extrav­a­gant spend­ing, fool­ish invest­ments and, he has argued in court doc­u­ments, exploita­tion by agents, busi­ness asso­ciates, fam­i­ly and friends.  His is an extreme exam­ple of eco­nom­ic mobility.

Reports of Young’s bank­rupt­cy fil­ing coin­cid­ed with the release this week of a new study by a group of Har­vard and Berke­ley econ­o­mists that reached an unex­pect­ed con­clu­sion: upward eco­nom­ic mobil­i­ty is not the exclu­sive province of entre­pre­neurs, enter­tain­ers and star ath­letes like Young. The Nation­al Bureau of Eco­nom­ic Research [NBER] report con­clud­ed that “chil­dren enter­ing the labor mar­ket today have the same chances of mov­ing up in the income dis­tri­b­u­tion (rel­a­tive to their par­ents) as chil­dren born in the 1970s.” Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Frenemies of the Poor

The 50th anniversary of the President Johnson's declaration of a War on Poverty has provoked strong views on whether it has succeeded or failed. The truth lies somewhere between. [Credit: Huffington Post]

The 50th anniver­sary of the Pres­i­dent John­son’s dec­la­ra­tion of a War on Pover­ty has pro­voked strong views on whether it has suc­ceed­ed or failed. The truth lies some­where between. [Cred­it: Huff­in­g­ton Post]

It’s not much of an exag­ger­a­tion to say that right now Repub­li­cans are doing all they can to hurt the poor, and they would have inflict­ed vast­ly more harm if they had won the 2012 elec­tion. More­over, GOP harsh­ness toward the less for­tu­nate isn’t just a mat­ter of spite (although that’s part of it); it’s deeply root­ed in the party’s ide­ol­o­gy.  Paul Krug­man, “Ene­mies of the Poor,” Jan­u­ary 12, 2014

The 50th anniver­sary of Pres­i­dent Johnson’s War on Pover­ty has occa­sioned a good deal of moral exhi­bi­tion­ism. Lib­er­als heap praise on the pro­grams and flat­ter them­selves for sup­port­ing the trans­fer of an esti­mat­ed $20.7 tril­lion (in 2011 dol­lars) in cash and non-cash ben­e­fits from those who earned it to those who did not. And they are rel­ish­ing the oppor­tu­ni­ty to denounce con­ser­v­a­tives as ene­mies of the poor, moti­vat­ed by ide­ol­o­gy and spite.

Some con­ser­v­a­tives, like the Her­itage Foundation’s Robert Rec­tor, are using the anniver­sary to declare the War on Pover­ty lost. Rec­tor recent­ly was quot­ed as say­ing that “the War on Pover­ty has been a com­plete cat­a­stro­phe.” Con­tin­ue read­ing →

The Fed and the Consequences of Bad Predictions

South Africa's government in recent years voted to jail people who make unauthorized and inaccurate forecasts.  Good thing for the Federal Reserve that their bad predictions don't carry consequences.  [Credit: University of MN]

South Africa’s gov­ern­ment in recent years vot­ed to jail peo­ple for mak­ing unau­tho­rized and inac­cu­rate weath­er fore­casts. Good thing for the Fed­er­al Reserve that their bad pre­dic­tions don’t car­ry con­se­quences. [Cred­it: Uni­ver­si­ty of MN]

The South African gov­ern­ment in recent years con­sid­ered a bill to jail peo­ple who pub­lished inac­cu­rate and unau­tho­rized fore­casts of severe weather.

Hold­ing peo­ple account­able for their pre­dic­tions seems a bit harsh in this sea­son of pre­dic­tions. But the South Africans do have a point: pre­dic­tions have con­se­quences. That’s as true of pre­dic­tions about the econ­o­my as about the weath­er, some­thing that the Fed­er­al Reserve might do well to pon­der. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Maximum Wage: Solution to Inequality?

The Swiss campaign to limit executive pay fell short, but are there good solutions to the problem of income inequality?

The Swiss cam­paign to lim­it exec­u­tive pay fell short, but are there good solu­tions to the prob­lem of income inequality?

We know that people’s frus­tra­tions run deep­er than these most recent polit­i­cal bat­tles. … They expe­ri­ence in a very per­son­al way the relent­less, decades-long trend. … And that is a dan­ger­ous and grow­ing inequal­i­ty and lack of upward mobil­i­ty that has jeop­ar­dized mid­dle-class America’s basic bar­gain — that if you work hard, you have a chance to get ahead. .I believe this is the defin­ing chal­lenge of our time: mak­ing sure our econ­o­my works for every work­ing Amer­i­can. It’s why I ran for Pres­i­dent. It was at the cen­ter of last year’s cam­paign. It dri­ves every­thing I do in this office. — Pres­i­dent Obama

Eco­nom­ic inequal­i­ty is a polit­i­cal­ly potent issue.  Van­der­bilt Uni­ver­si­ty pro­fes­sor Lar­ry Bar­tels believes that it was a crit­i­cal one in the 2012 Pres­i­den­tial race, adding 2 to 3 per­cent­age points to Pres­i­dent Oba­ma’s share of the vote and 1 per­cent in bat­tle­ground states.  The Pres­i­den­t’s advan­tage on this issue, Bar­tels says, was large­ly sym­bol­ic, hav­ing more to do with the per­cep­tion that his oppo­nen­t’s great wealth had detached him from the con­cerns of ordi­nary vot­ers. Peo­ple moti­vat­ed to vote for the Pres­i­dent because of this issue did so more because of who they believed Mitt Rom­ney was than because of what the Pres­i­dent pro­posed to do. Con­tin­ue read­ing →