The Fed On The Road To Nowhere

Economic policymakers may have us, as the Talking Heads put it in their 1985 hit, on the road to nowhere. [Credit: qednet.biz]

Eco­nom­ic pol­i­cy­mak­ers may have us, as the Talk­ing Heads put it in their 1985 hit, on the road to nowhere. [Cred­it: qednet.biz]

For­mer Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Ben Bernanke has been called the man who saved the world.  His extra­or­di­nary inter­ven­tions in the fall of 2008 have almost uni­ver­sal­ly been rec­og­nized as hav­ing pre­vent­ed a sec­ond Great Depression.

But a new study by the Swiss-based Bank for Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments (BIS) sug­gests that Bernanke saved the world from a cri­sis that was at least part­ly of his own mak­ing.  Worse, it argues that the course he set and that his suc­ces­sor Janet Yellen and oth­er cen­tral banks are fol­low­ing will pro­duce anoth­er and per­haps graver crisis.

Gov­ern­ment mon­e­tary and fis­cal pol­i­cy­mak­ers have lost their way, the BIS argues.  So bad­ly that they don’t just need a new direc­tion.  They need a new compass.

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The Fed and the Consequences of Bad Predictions

South Africa's government in recent years voted to jail people who make unauthorized and inaccurate forecasts.  Good thing for the Federal Reserve that their bad predictions don't carry consequences.  [Credit: University of MN]

South Africa’s gov­ern­ment in recent years vot­ed to jail peo­ple for mak­ing unau­tho­rized and inac­cu­rate weath­er fore­casts. Good thing for the Fed­er­al Reserve that their bad pre­dic­tions don’t car­ry con­se­quences. [Cred­it: Uni­ver­si­ty of MN]

The South African gov­ern­ment in recent years con­sid­ered a bill to jail peo­ple who pub­lished inac­cu­rate and unau­tho­rized fore­casts of severe weather.

Hold­ing peo­ple account­able for their pre­dic­tions seems a bit harsh in this sea­son of pre­dic­tions. But the South Africans do have a point: pre­dic­tions have con­se­quences. That’s as true of pre­dic­tions about the econ­o­my as about the weath­er, some­thing that the Fed­er­al Reserve might do well to pon­der. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Fed Up: Judge Strikes Down Federal Reserve on Swipe Fees

The Fed holds all the cards when it sets a policy.  Nobody bothered telling that to a federal judge, who last week struck down a Fed regulation on debit card swipe fees.

The Fed holds all the cards when it sets pol­i­cy. Nobody both­ered telling that to a fed­er­al judge, who last week struck down a Fed reg­u­la­tion on deb­it card swipe fees.

When it comes to bailouts, mon­e­tary pol­i­cy, and bank­ing reg­u­la­tion, the Fed­er­al Reserve has the last word. No one – not the Pres­i­dent, not Con­gress, not any­one – stops the Fed from doing what it has deter­mined to do. Until last week. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

The Fed, the ECB and La Dolce Vita

Fellini celebrated "La Dolce Vita" in his film classic.  Today, Italians may feel as though they're living in a Fellini flick. [Credit: theworld.org]

Felli­ni cel­e­brat­ed “La Dolce Vita” in his film clas­sic.  But a strug­gling econ­o­my, wob­bly banks and frac­tious pol­i­tics threat­en to take the “dolce” out of their vita. [Cred­it: theworld.org]

Stran­gozzi is the char­ac­ter­is­tic pas­ta of Umbria, Tuscany’s hot sister.

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