Tag Archives: monetary policy

Debt And The New American Exceptionalism

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Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen plans to increase interest rates. Can government and households survive the shock? [Credit: Huffington Post]

Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Janet Yellen plans to increase inter­est rates. Can gov­ern­ment and house­holds sur­vive the shock? [Cred­it: Huff­in­g­ton Post]

The Amer­i­can econ­o­my is back.  After years of tepid growth and a first quar­ter con­trac­tion, GDP grew by a robust 4.6 per­cent in the third quar­ter of last year.  The unem­ploy­ment rate remained at 5.8 per­cent in Novem­ber, and ana­lysts expect the Labor Depart­ment to announce tomor­row that the econ­o­my added sub­stan­tial­ly more than 200,000 jobs in Decem­ber.  Infla­tion is low, the dol­lar is strong, oil prices have tum­bled, and fed­er­al deficits are low­er.  Near­ly six years after the reces­sion end­ed, the long-await­ed recov­ery appears at last to have arrived.

That recov­ery has in part been dri­ven by a force that could be its undo­ing: debt.  Near­ly $46 tril­lion of it, or more than 2–1/2 times our annu­al eco­nom­ic out­put. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

The Fed On The Road To Nowhere

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Economic policymakers may have us, as the Talking Heads put it in their 1985 hit, on the road to nowhere. [Credit: qednet.biz]

Eco­nom­ic pol­i­cy­mak­ers may have us, as the Talk­ing Heads put it in their 1985 hit, on the road to nowhere. [Cred­it: qednet.biz]

For­mer Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Ben Bernanke has been called the man who saved the world.  His extra­or­di­nary inter­ven­tions in the fall of 2008 have almost uni­ver­sal­ly been rec­og­nized as hav­ing pre­vent­ed a sec­ond Great Depression.

But a new study by the Swiss-based Bank for Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments (BIS) sug­gests that Bernanke saved the world from a cri­sis that was at least part­ly of his own mak­ing.  Worse, it argues that the course he set and that his suc­ces­sor Janet Yellen and oth­er cen­tral banks are fol­low­ing will pro­duce anoth­er and per­haps graver crisis.

Gov­ern­ment mon­e­tary and fis­cal pol­i­cy­mak­ers have lost their way, the BIS argues.  So bad­ly that they don’t just need a new direc­tion.  They need a new compass.

Con­tin­ue read­ing →