Good News Coming On The Deficit. Well, Sort Of.

Syriza party leader Alexis  Tsipras hopes to prevail in today's Greek elections, which could mark a turning point in his nation's struggle against a crushing load of debt. Meanwhile, U.S. government deficits are improving. Sort of.

Syriza par­ty leader Alex­is Tsipras hopes to pre­vail in today’s Greek elec­tions, which could pro­voke a show­down between Euro­pean lead­ers and Greece, which strug­gles under a crush­ing load of debt. Mean­while, U.S. gov­ern­ment deficits are improv­ing. Sort of. [Cred­it: BBC]

On Tues­day morn­ing, the Con­gres­sion­al Bud­get Office will announce that the fed­er­al deficit con­tin­ued to decline last year.

The announce­ment will trig­ger an orgy of self-con­grat­u­la­tion in Wash­ing­ton.  The Admin­is­tra­tion will claim that its poli­cies have been vin­di­cat­ed.  Repub­li­cans also will take a bow, tout­ing spend­ing con­straints they’ve imposed since win­ning the House majority.

But you’ll hear noth­ing from the Wash­ing­to­ni­ans who most deserve cred­it for reduced deficits: the Fed­er­al Reserve Board of Gov­er­nors.  By hold­ing inter­est rates near zero and lend­ing tril­lions in free mon­ey to the Trea­sury, the Fed has allowed the gov­ern­ment to reduce deficits even as it gorged on debt. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Debt And The New American Exceptionalism

Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen plans to increase interest rates.  Can government and households survive the shock? [Credit: Huffington Post]

Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Janet Yellen plans to increase inter­est rates. Can gov­ern­ment and house­holds sur­vive the shock? [Cred­it: Huff­in­g­ton Post]

The Amer­i­can econ­o­my is back.  After years of tepid growth and a first quar­ter con­trac­tion, GDP grew by a robust 4.6 per­cent in the third quar­ter of last year.  The unem­ploy­ment rate remained at 5.8 per­cent in Novem­ber, and ana­lysts expect the Labor Depart­ment to announce tomor­row that the econ­o­my added sub­stan­tial­ly more than 200,000 jobs in Decem­ber.  Infla­tion is low, the dol­lar is strong, oil prices have tum­bled, and fed­er­al deficits are low­er.  Near­ly six years after the reces­sion end­ed, the long-await­ed recov­ery appears at last to have arrived.

That recov­ery has in part been dri­ven by a force that could be its undo­ing: debt.  Near­ly $46 tril­lion of it, or more than 2–1/2 times our annu­al eco­nom­ic out­put. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

When Dead Men Rule

G.K. Chesterton worried that our predecessors would have too little influence on our politics. But Gene Steuerle says that they have too much. [Credit: christiancompletely blog]

G.K. Chester­ton wor­ried that our ances­tors would have too lit­tle influ­ence on our soci­ety. But a new book by the Urban Insti­tute’s Gene Steuer­le says that they exert too much con­trol over our pol­i­tics. [Cred­it: chris­tian­com­plete­ly blog]

“Tra­di­tion means giv­ing votes to the most obscure of all class­es, our ances­tors.  It is the democ­ra­cy of the dead.” – G.K. Chester­ton

Chester­ton fret­ted that mod­ern democ­ra­cies might show too lit­tle def­er­ence to past gen­er­a­tions.  But accord­ing to the Urban Institute’s Gene Steuer­le, the very oppo­site is true: in Amer­i­can democ­ra­cy, dead men rule. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Republicans Getting Deficit Reduction, But President Getting His Way

The President and Speaker are headed for another budget confrontation.  [Credit: Fox News]

The Pres­i­dent and Speak­er are head­ed for anoth­er bud­get con­fronta­tion. [Cred­it: Fox News]

Con­gress is on hol­i­day, rest­ing up for the next round of bud­get wars that will resume after Labor Day. The issues they will face when they return are famil­iar: the fed­er­al gov­ern­ment is about to lose author­i­ty to do what it does best (or, at least, most nat­u­ral­ly) – bor­row and spend. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Economic Inequality Not Obama’s Fault

 

The "Occupy Wall Street" demonstrations are a distant memory, but the economic disparities they decried still persist.  [Credit: ABC News]

The “Occu­py Wall Street” demon­stra­tions are a dis­tant mem­o­ry, but the eco­nom­ic dis­par­i­ties they decried still per­sist. [Cred­it: ABC News]

Pres­i­dent Oba­ma has a new plan to revi­tal­ize the mid­dle class.  It almost cer­tain­ly won’t work, but that almost cer­tain­ly isn’t his fault.  Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Budget Wars: Can They Bridge the Health Care Gap?

Bud­get debates make good polit­i­cal the­ater. Each par­ty forces record­ed votes designed to score polit­i­cal points and embar­rass mem­bers of the oppos­ing par­ty. The House had fun yes­ter­day with some amend­ments before adopt­ing the Repub­li­can pro­pos­al writ­ten by Paul Ryan (R‑WI). The Sen­ate began debate on its pro­pos­al last evening and is brac­ing for Friday’s “vote-a-rama” – a day of record­ed votes on dozens of polit­i­cal­ly-barbed amend­ments advanced by mem­bers of both par­ties. Con­tin­ue read­ing →