Good News Coming On The Deficit. Well, Sort Of.

Syriza party leader Alexis  Tsipras hopes to prevail in today's Greek elections, which could mark a turning point in his nation's struggle against a crushing load of debt. Meanwhile, U.S. government deficits are improving. Sort of.

Syriza par­ty leader Alex­is Tsipras hopes to pre­vail in today’s Greek elec­tions, which could pro­voke a show­down between Euro­pean lead­ers and Greece, which strug­gles under a crush­ing load of debt. Mean­while, U.S. gov­ern­ment deficits are improv­ing. Sort of. [Cred­it: BBC]

On Tues­day morn­ing, the Con­gres­sion­al Bud­get Office will announce that the fed­er­al deficit con­tin­ued to decline last year.

The announce­ment will trig­ger an orgy of self-con­grat­u­la­tion in Wash­ing­ton.  The Admin­is­tra­tion will claim that its poli­cies have been vin­di­cat­ed.  Repub­li­cans also will take a bow, tout­ing spend­ing con­straints they’ve imposed since win­ning the House majority.

But you’ll hear noth­ing from the Wash­ing­to­ni­ans who most deserve cred­it for reduced deficits: the Fed­er­al Reserve Board of Gov­er­nors.  By hold­ing inter­est rates near zero and lend­ing tril­lions in free mon­ey to the Trea­sury, the Fed has allowed the gov­ern­ment to reduce deficits even as it gorged on debt. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Debt And The New American Exceptionalism

Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen plans to increase interest rates.  Can government and households survive the shock? [Credit: Huffington Post]

Fed­er­al Reserve Chair­man Janet Yellen plans to increase inter­est rates. Can gov­ern­ment and house­holds sur­vive the shock? [Cred­it: Huff­in­g­ton Post]

The Amer­i­can econ­o­my is back.  After years of tepid growth and a first quar­ter con­trac­tion, GDP grew by a robust 4.6 per­cent in the third quar­ter of last year.  The unem­ploy­ment rate remained at 5.8 per­cent in Novem­ber, and ana­lysts expect the Labor Depart­ment to announce tomor­row that the econ­o­my added sub­stan­tial­ly more than 200,000 jobs in Decem­ber.  Infla­tion is low, the dol­lar is strong, oil prices have tum­bled, and fed­er­al deficits are low­er.  Near­ly six years after the reces­sion end­ed, the long-await­ed recov­ery appears at last to have arrived.

That recov­ery has in part been dri­ven by a force that could be its undo­ing: debt.  Near­ly $46 tril­lion of it, or more than 2–1/2 times our annu­al eco­nom­ic out­put. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Could A Wealth Tax Solve the Problem of Government Debt?

A recent IMF report suggests that this man's enormous wealth might help resolve the government's debt problem. [Credit: NY Post]

A recent IMF report sug­gests that this man’s enor­mous wealth might help resolve the gov­ern­men­t’s debt prob­lem. [Cred­it: NY Post]

The Inter­na­tion­al Mon­e­tary Fund (IMF) recent­ly report­ed that Euro­pean gov­ern­ments could reduce their debt back to pre-Great Reces­sion lev­els by con­fis­cat­ing 10 per­cent of the wealth held by their rich­est cit­i­zens. IMF isn’t rec­om­mend­ing that, of course.

They’re just sayin’. Con­tin­ue read­ing →

How’s That Cyprus “Bail-In” Working Out?

The Cyprus "bail-in" is no more popular today than when it was hatched last spring. [Credit: CNNMoney.com]

The Cyprus “bail-in” is no more pop­u­lar today than when it was hatched last spring. [Cred­it: CNNMoney.com]

You may remem­ber Cyprus, the Mediter­ranean island that grabbed inter­na­tion­al head­lines last March when its gov­ern­ment was com­pelled by Euro­pean author­i­ties to seize mon­ey that indi­vid­u­als and busi­ness­es had deposit­ed in the country’s two largest banks.

The “bail-in” of Cypri­ot banks, so called because it requires peo­ple who have deposit­ed their mon­ey in fail­ing banks to help save those banks by for­feit­ing some of their deposits, is a por­tent of bank res­cues to come.  Con­tin­ue read­ing →

The Fed, the ECB and La Dolce Vita

Fellini celebrated "La Dolce Vita" in his film classic.  Today, Italians may feel as though they're living in a Fellini flick. [Credit: theworld.org]

Felli­ni cel­e­brat­ed “La Dolce Vita” in his film clas­sic.  But a strug­gling econ­o­my, wob­bly banks and frac­tious pol­i­tics threat­en to take the “dolce” out of their vita. [Cred­it: theworld.org]

Stran­gozzi is the char­ac­ter­is­tic pas­ta of Umbria, Tuscany’s hot sister.

Con­tin­ue read­ing →

Cyprus: Euro Saved! But things are not so good for Cypriots who saved euros

CyprusDid you cash a check today?  Or with­draw mon­ey from your sav­ings account?  Or use your deb­it card to buy a sand­wich?  If so, many Cypri­ots wish they were you. Con­tin­ue read­ing →