Elizabeth Warren’s Anti-Progressivism

Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) preaches progressivism but is her student loan proposal anti-progressive? [Credit: NPR]

Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA) preach­es pro­gres­sivism but is her stu­dent loan pro­pos­al anti-pro­gres­sive? [Cred­it: NPR]

“This coun­try should not be run for the biggest cor­po­ra­tions and largest finan­cial insti­tu­tions.” Sen­a­tor Eliz­a­beth War­ren (D‑MA)

To judge from Warren’s record so far, she would be pre­fer that the coun­try be run for the ben­e­fit of its biggest universities.

War­ren comes by her spe­cial inter­est pan­der­ing hon­est­ly.  She joined the US Sen­ate after a 20-year stint on the fac­ul­ty of Har­vard Law School

Uni­ver­si­ties ben­e­fit from gov­ern­ment-backed stu­dent loans the way that real­tors once ben­e­fit­ed from the gov­ern­men­t’s mas­sive sub­si­dies of the mort­gage indus­try: they can charge more for their prod­uct.  Col­lege tuitions have risen by 538 per­cent since 1985, far in excess of health care spend­ing (286 per­cent), hous­ing costs, and the gen­er­al rate of inflation.

Col­lege costs more in part because stu­dents can bor­row more, amor­tiz­ing the costs over time.  Stu­dents and their fam­i­lies bor­row against the increased future earn­ings that a col­lege degree sup­pos­ed­ly makes pos­si­ble.  This the­o­ry works, up to a point.  We seem to be in dan­ger of mov­ing beyond that point.  Col­lege grad­u­ates earned $3,200 less in 2013 than in 2000.

To be fair, Warren’s views may be skewed by her long asso­ci­a­tion with Har­vard.  Grad­u­ates of that insti­tu­tion and oth­er elite uni­ver­si­ties are dis­pro­por­tion­ate­ly rep­re­sent­ed among the 1 per­cent that War­ren resents.  As Har­vard alum­nus Charles Mur­ray has exhaus­tive­ly doc­u­ment­ed, his fel­low Ivy Lea­guers and grad­u­ates of oth­er top-tier insti­tu­tions pop­u­late super-ZIPS – neigh­bor­hoods where the rich­est and most influ­en­tial Amer­i­cans live – and dom­i­nate gov­ern­ment, Hol­ly­wood, acad­e­mia and (pace Pro­fes­sor War­ren) Wall Street.  They are the titans who gov­ern us, define our val­ues and prof­it dis­pro­por­tion­ate­ly from gov­ern­ment inter­ven­tions on behalf of the invest­ment class that War­ren pro­fess­es to despise.

Those who grad­u­ate from less pres­ti­gious col­leges, by con­trast, tend to find them­selves among the 99 per­cent.  Many strug­gle to find work.  Oth­ers are forced to accept posi­tions for which they are under­paid and overqual­i­fied.  Many bend beneath the weight of the debt they incurred to obtain a uni­ver­si­ty degree.  Out­stand­ing stu­dent loan debt sur­passed $1 tril­lion in 2011, more than total out­stand­ing cred­it card debt ($798 bil­lion).  Aver­age per capi­ta debt stood at $27,253 in 2012, 58 per­cent high­er than in 2005.

And while stu­dents are bor­row­ing more and earn­ing less, the pace of bor­row­ing, fueled by fed­er­al loan pro­grams, is pick­ing up.  New debt incurred in aca­d­e­m­ic year 2011–2012 exceed­ed $100 bil­lion, com­pared to around $60 bil­lion just five years before.

That accel­er­a­tion in bor­row­ing is help­ing to fuel increas­es in col­lege tuitions even as the eco­nom­ic val­ue of the degrees they con­fer declines.  The Amer­i­can Dream of a col­lege edu­ca­tion, like the Amer­i­can Dream of home­own­er­ship, may be over­rat­ed.  If a diplo­ma no longer con­fers the earn­ing pow­er it once did, per­haps col­leges should reduce their tuitions.

But Amer­i­can uni­ver­si­ties, like the largest banks that War­ren detests, are too big to fail.  And too well-con­nect­ed. Over the past decade or so, their lob­by­ists suc­ceed­ed in elim­i­nat­ing banks from the stu­dent lend­ing pro­grams.  By hav­ing the gov­ern­ment lend direct­ly to stu­dents (i.e., cut checks direct­ly to uni­ver­si­ties) with­out the inter­me­di­a­tion of lend­ing insti­tu­tions with some, albeit imper­fect, expe­ri­ence in man­ag­ing the risks asso­ci­at­ed with long-term lend­ing, uni­ver­si­ties put the gov­ern­ment direct­ly on the hook for their own well-being.

The result is that much of the more than $1 tril­lion in out­stand­ing stu­dent loan debt will nev­er be repaid.  That is by design.  The gov­ern­ment oper­ates pro­grams that make default a virtue, delib­er­ate­ly entic­ing stu­dents to stick the tax­pay­ers with their unpaid debt.  The gov­ern­ment oper­ates the “Pay As You Earn” pro­gram (which could more accu­rate­ly be named Don’t Pay As You Don’t Earn), which allows qual­i­fied bor­row­ers to make month­ly pay­ments amount­ing to 10 per­cent of their dis­cre­tionary income, even if that amount doesn’t cov­er their inter­est due.

It also for­gives any debt that remains after 20 years.  Those who take gov­ern­ment jobs or work for non-prof­its are eli­gi­ble for debt for­give­ness after just 10 years.   Pres­i­dent Oba­ma wants to expand this to all bor­row­ers, not just those who bor­rowed begin­ning in 2011, and make the loan for­give­ness (default) exempt from taxation.

So how have uni­ver­si­ties respond­ed?  One elite uni­ver­si­ty – George­town Law School – has invit­ed new enrollees to enjoy the plea­sures of legal loop­holes by bor­row­ing the total cost of their edu­ca­tion (around $75,000 annu­al­ly for George­town stu­dents, includ­ing tuition, fees, books, and hous­ing expenses).

Georgetown’s web­site boast­ed that such enter­pris­ing bor­row­ers “might not pay a sin­gle pen­ny on their loans—ever!”   Such a deal.  And all you have to do, George­town advis­es its aspir­ing legal bea­gles, is take a job with the gov­ern­ment or a non-prof­it agency and stay there for 10 years.  George­town will make the loan pay­ments over that peri­od, after which the remain­ing debt is forgiven.

George­town being a Jesuit uni­ver­si­ty, you might expect that it has an angle in all this (apolo­gies to Pope Fran­cis).  You would be right.  George­town includes the cost of the loan repay­ment in its tuition.  So, essen­tial­ly, the uni­ver­si­ty pays noth­ing, the stu­dent pays noth­ing and the tax­pay­er eats the $225,000 in law school tuition and expenses.

Lest this sound like a con­ser­v­a­tive screed, the loan for­give­ness pro­gram has recent­ly come under crit­i­cism in two sep­a­rate papers from the left-of-cen­ter Brook­ings Insti­tu­tion. The first paper found:

“Not only is loan for­give­ness unnec­es­sary for ensur­ing that month­ly pay­ments are afford­able for bor­row­ers, loan for­give­ness cre­ates incen­tives for stu­dents to bor­row too much to attend col­lege, poten­tial­ly con­tribut­ing to ris­ing col­lege prices for every­one. This is high­light­ed by our find­ing that grad­u­ates of expen­sive col­leges receive the largest ben­e­fits of income-based repayment.”

Expen­sive col­leges like Har­vard perhaps?

The sec­ond paper ana­lyzed Sen­a­tor Warren’s bill to slash inter­est rates on stu­dent loans to infin­i­tes­i­mal lev­els.  In the unkind­est cut of all, Brook­ings says that the War­ren plan “fails to redis­trib­ute wealth in a pro­gres­sive man­ner” and that it “flies in the face of pro­gres­sive val­ues by ben­e­fit­ing the afflu­ent at the expense of the disadvantaged.”

Still, Brook­ings miss­es the real anti-pro­gres­sive ele­ment of Warren’s pro­pos­al: it’s not just afflu­ent stu­dents at elite uni­ver­si­ties who ben­e­fit from these “anti-pro­gres­sive” sub­si­dies, but the uni­ver­si­ties them­selves.  Har­vard may be a non-prof­it, but it holds an endow­ment recent­ly val­ued at $32.7 bil­lion.  In part because it attracts a large pro­por­tion of stu­dents from wealthy fam­i­lies and in part because the gov­ern­ment does so much to sub­si­dize the rest, Harvard’s endow­ment can con­tin­ue to grow as it rais­es tuitions and fees and pock­ets bil­lions in gov­ern­ment grants and contracts.

War­ren no doubt objects to hav­ing her pro­pos­al labeled “anti-pro­gres­sive,” par­tic­u­lar­ly by the Brook­ings Insti­tu­tion.  She sees her­self as an intre­pid class war­rior, embrac­ing the cause of the down­trod­den against elites like her and her for­mer stu­dents.  But if she could take a cold, hard look at her posi­tion, she might see that she is advo­cat­ing the very sort of crony­ism that she often cor­rect­ly condemns.