![Donald Trump is leading the GOP pack heading into tonight's debate. Why that's good news for Democrats. [Credit: CBS Pittsburgh]](https://i0.wp.com/www.dougsbriefcase.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/credit-cbspittsburgh.jpg?resize=300%2C169)
Donald Trump is leading the GOP pack heading into tonight’s debate. Why that’s good news for Democrats. [Credit: CBS Pittsburgh]
His colleagues behind the counter are in a similarly amicable stupor, but knowledgeable about their product and full of advice to prevent patrons from pulling a Maureen Dowd, the New York Times columnist who descended into a paranoid delusional state after locking herself in a hotel room and wolfing down a THC-laced Sky Bar. The delicacies at this shop are said to contain safe amounts of the active ingredient, enough to produce a manageable euphoria that won’t end in an emergency room visit or inspire another loopy New York Times column.
There is something vaguely surreal about getting medical advice, however sound, from people in a drug-induced haze at ten o’clock in the morning. The “wake and bake” crew at the marijuana dispensary fits the caricatures that opponents of legalization have sketched, making them a bad advertisement for their political cause.
Which brings me to Donald Trump.
Trump’s genius for self-promotion and reinvention has made him the GOP’s improbable front-runner heading into tonight’s comically crowded debate. He is popular among conservatives, though he is no conservative. His self-referential candidacy leaves little space for policy, conservative or otherwise. Data, position papers and substance are the preoccupations of career politicians. Why entangle yourself in complexity when you know the Donald can handle anything the presidency can throw at him? How would he conduct foreign affairs in an increasingly hostile and chaotic world? He’s a good negotiator who will hire good negotiators to negotiate for him. Health care? He’ll repeal Obamacare and replace it with “something terrific.” Done and done.
His candidacy is less political than cultural. Trump is the delinquent rich kid, vandalizing the cultural edifice erected by elites in universities, government, Hollywood, Wall Street and corporate C‑suites – erected, in other words, by people of his own social milieu. Trump’s bombast is a calculated assault on the sensibilities of American elites, especially those who are ever sniffing out “microaggressions,” verbal miscues that are often of innocent intent but that are said to have been belched from hateful souls and to have been hurtful to one or another victim group.
That mentality permeates every crevice of popular culture. Last month, Colin Cowherd, an ESPN radio celebrity, launched one of his frequent screeds against baseball. Cowherd’s intended target was a politically safe one: old white guys who like baseball and believe it to be a cerebral game (me, for example). Baseball, he argued, can’t be intellectually complex because “a third of the sport is from the Dominican Republic,” which, he continued, “has not been known in my lifetime as having world-class academic abilities.”
Thus did the shot he fired at white guys inadvertently wound Latinos, an ethnic group with well-established victimhood cred. The outrage from the grievance industry was immediate, provoking calls for Cowherd’s scalp.
The next morning, Cowherd announced that he was “not doing a Trump and doubling down,” but stopped short of apologizing for his remarks. Instead he tried to clarify the point of his excursus on the Dominican education system: “You don’t have to be Steven Hawking to understand baseball.” Hours after the day’s show ended, he backed down, tweeting a formulaic apology: “My choice of words was poor and not reflective of who I am.” By evening, his employers announced that “Colin will no longer appear on ESPN.”
The familiar cycle of statement/explanation/apology/termination played out over a period of roughly 30 hours. Its hypocrisy was flagrant. It had been widely reported for some time that Cowherd was leaving ESPN to join a rival network. His last ESPN broadcast was to have been a week from the day of his firing. A convenient time for the network to suddenly discover that its longtime on-air personality does not “reflect the values of ESPN or our employees.”
The Trump candidacy is less about making America great again than about making a mockery of elites who engage in such moral preening and hypersensitivity. Trump deliberately provokes interest groups that hemorrhage outrage more profusely than hemophiliacs bleed. (To persons with hemophilia whom I’ve offended: “The preceding sentence is not reflective of who I am.”) Others grovel and plead for forgiveness when they inadvertently nick the capillaries of such groups; Trump goes for the carotid. And then won’t say he’s sorry.
Trump lives to give offense. There is an audience that thrills to his every outrageous utterance, and it is mostly on the Right, among those who simmer over political correctness and speech codes that have leeched from universities into the broader cultural water table. Just as Bernie Sanders has tapped into disaffection on the Left against the Democratic party and its presumptive 2016 standard-bearer, Trump attracts much of his following from Republicans disillusioned with political elites, particularly those of their own party. Their ranks are growing. Only 68 percent of Republicans have a favorable view of their party, according to a recent Pew Research poll, down from 86 percent in January.
And that isn’t the GOP’s biggest problem. Overall, twice as many voters view the party unfavorably as view it favorably, according to the same Pew survey. That doesn’t mean the public disagrees with Republicans on the issues. While Democrats have big advantages over Republicans on abortion and the environment, Republicans are more trusted to handle the budget, taxes, gun control and terrorism, and are almost dead even with Democrats on immigration, foreign policy and the economy.
The party’s biggest deficits have less to do with specific issues than with the perception that it “isn’t concerned with people like me” (53 percent say that is true of Republicans vs. 31 percent who say it is true of Democrats) and is “more extreme in its positions” (Republicans are viewed as more extreme by a 52–35 margin). Which would make a billionaire candidate who revels in immoderate declarations a particularly unfortunate choice as standard-bearer.
Trump’s candidacy reinforces the worst caricatures of Republicans as angry, abrasive and far removed from the concerns of most Americans. Those stereotypes are the Democratic party’s greatest asset, an asset that accrued value whenever Jon Stewart grimaced at the mention of Ted Cruz or Stephen Colbert raised an eyebrow in ironic defense of Sarah Palin. Such social cues from a broad array of celebrity icons are enough to convince many voters that they don’t want to be Republicans, much less conservatives, lest they find themselves adrift from the cultural mainstream.
Overcoming this bias against Republicans will be difficult enough for a party that has won a popular vote majority just once in the last six presidential elections. The Trump campaign won’t help the GOP regain lost ground, anymore than the staff of stoners at the Downing Street marijuana dispensary will boost the campaign for legalization.
But at least they’re a mellow, cheerful and friendly lot. Trump should take note.
Who else can weave pot, baseball and Donald Trump together to make a great point? Doug Badger, that’s who!