![Murders in Chicago and the bankruptcy of Detroit raise uncomfortable questions for Democrats who have held power in these cities for decades. [Credit: Progress Illinois]](https://i0.wp.com/www.dougsbriefcase.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Credit-progress-illinois.jpg?resize=300%2C167)
Murders in Chicago and the bankruptcy of Detroit raise uncomfortable questions for Democrats who have held power in these cities for decades. [Credit: Progress Illinois]
Before becoming Mayor of Chicago, Emanuel’s career had been one of unbroken success: from finance director of the Clinton campaign, to senior adviser in the Clinton White House, investment banker, Congressman, and early backer of Barack Obama against his former political patrons, the Clintons, a move that resulted in his being named Chief of Staff in the Obama White House.
Reliably progressive and stubbornly pragmatic, Emanuel seemed especially well suited to the mayoralty, which demands that ideology work at the pothole level. To his consternation and surprise, it has not.
Homicides are its most obvious failure. Last December 28, 40-year-old Nathaniel Jackson became the city’s 500th murder victim in 2012, the first time since 2008 that the body count had reached that milestone. There were 5 more before the year was out. Most of the deaths were the result of shootings, most of the dead from the city’s African-American population. There were 433 the year before. This year’s total will probably dip below 500 again. Through July 21, there have been only 228 murders. Only.
The decline is largely attributable to relatively low casualty totals in February (14) and March (17). This kept the body count for the first three months well below that of 2012. Some blame milder temperatures for last year’s surge of wintertime murders, though even the environmentally-conscious mayor did not pin them on global warming.
He didn’t hesitate, however, to claim that his crime-fighting strategies are working. The New York Times obliged him last month with a headline, “Chicago Tactics Put Major Dent in Killing Trend.” In retrospect, the “dent” looks more like a nick. The weekend after the Times ran the piece, there were 36 shootings, including a bloody Fathers Day on which 6 died and 13 were wounded. All told, there were 45 homicides in May and 43 in June; this month’s toll is likely to surpass both. It stood at 42 as of July 21.
The “tactics” the mayor is employing look more like the Baghdad counterinsurgency than city governance, with mobile police units deploying to neighborhoods where shootings have recently occurred or are expected to occur. Parts of the city, in short, have been reduced to war zones. Literally. The American death toll in Afghanistan since 2001 stands at around 2,000; more than 5,000 people have been killed in Chicago over that same period of time.
This descent into mayhem preceded Emanuel’s tenure. There were many more murders in the early 1990s, when incarceration rates were lower and shock trauma units less adept at keeping shooting victims alive. Rahm, as the President he once served is fond of saying, “inherited” all of these problems. So why not follow the President’s lead and blame his Republican predecessor? Because William Hale Thompson, the last Republican mayor, left office in 1931. Democrats have run the city for 82 years, with a single family — the Daleys — in charge for 33 of those years.
Detroit has a similar political pedigree. When its last Republican mayor, Louis Miriani, left office in January 1962, Detroit had the nation’s highest per capita income. Today its $14,717 per capita income ranks it among the poorest localities in the nation, lagging even other rust-belt towns like Erie (PA), Buffalo (NY) and Canton (OH). On a global scale, its per capita income ranks lower than those of 88 countries, including Latvia, Botswana, Lebanon and Mexico.
In touting his first term accomplishments, the President said last October that he’d “refused to let Detroit go bankrupt.” Vice President Biden joined in making this a point of contrast with his opponent, Mitt Romney. During his debate with Rep. Paul Ryan (R‑WI), the Vice President charged that Mitt Romney “would let Detroit go bankrupt.”
Turns out that Detroit’s fate never really hinged on the outcome of the Presidential election. In its bankruptcy filing, the city disclosed that it was $20 billion in debt and has no means of repaying its 100,000 creditors, many of whom are owed public pensions. The list of its failures is by now familiar to most readers and needs no recounting. [Here are 25 facts about Detroit, for those in search of even more depressing reading.]
Though Detroit’s is the largest bankruptcy filing by a major city to date, we should not presume that it is unique. Michigan State University economist Eric Scorsone recently told CNBC that Detroit is anything but.
“Everyone will say, ‘Oh well, it’s Detroit. I thought it was already in bankruptcy.’ But Detroit is not unique. It’s the same in Chicago and New York and San Diego and San Jose. It’s a lot of major cities in this country. They may not be as extreme as Detroit, but a lot of them face the same problems.”
The same problems that last week claimed Detroit are metastasizing in other major US cities. Most of those cities have long been governed according to progressive nostrums — that entitlement programs should be enlarged and new ones created, that deficits are stimulative and high levels of public debt are tolerable, that the minimum wage should be raised and public pensions made more generous, that paying teachers more will improve schools, that social spending should be increased and taxes raised, and the like.
Unencumbered by Republican obstructionism, a succession of Democratic mayors in Chicago, Detroit and major cities throughout the country have put this ideology into practice, often over the course of decades. The results are obvious enough. I’m not suggesting that these cities would have fared better under Republican administrations. That is a counterfactual that I neither assert nor could prove. What I am suggesting is that Democrats should begin to rethink the truths they think they know in light of this record of failure.
Democrats frame their governing ideology in terms of compassion. They should reevaluate it in terms of competence.
Giulliani inherited and cleaned up a much larger murderous crime and filth infested city and turned it into a safe and prosperous urban oasis. Republican administration… hmmm… “republican” successor… city still ok… booming Texas has a republican governor and a republican legislature… and the democrat city and state governance success stories are…?? I think it’s Jerry Brown, who has governed California as a fiscal republican.
Ever watch that cable pawn shop show out of Detroit? Those customers are my strongest argument against democracy as a form of government. They will never climb out of bankruptcy with that majority population base. End stage democratic governance.